Safari Trade Adapts Itineraries and Expectations Ahead of El Niño Season
Safari specialists are adjusting itineraries, accommodation choices and client communications as a strengthening El Niño shapes the outlook for Africa’s 2026/27 safari season. SADC’s latest regional forecast indicates an increased likelihood of below-normal rainfall across much of central and southern Southern Africa, alongside above-average temperatures across most of the region, while ICPAC expects wetter-than-normal conditions across much of the Greater Horn during the October–December short rains season.
The International Fund for Animal Welfare has warned that the developing El Niño could have severe consequences for wildlife, landscapes and communities. Rather than waiting for clients to raise concerns, safari advisors are increasingly briefing travellers on seasonal conditions and building greater flexibility into itineraries.
On the ground, Travel Weekly reports that specialists are moving Tarangire earlier in some Tanzania itineraries, avoiding areas vulnerable to difficult road conditions during heavy rainfall and making greater use of fly-in safaris. In Southern Africa, advisors are also paying closer attention to cooling facilities at camps as forecasts point to warmer-than-normal conditions.
Advisors are meanwhile encouraging travellers to see the advantages of green-season travel — including fewer vehicles, lower rates, dramatic landscapes and exceptional birdlife — while setting realistic expectations around wildlife sightings and recommending appropriate travel insurance, particularly for January and February departures.
Source: Travel Weekly